ISIPTA'07 - FIFTH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON
IMPRECISE PROBABILITY: THEORIES AND APPLICATIONS

Charles University, Faculty of Mathematicsand Physics
Prague, Czech Republic
16-19 July 2007

ELECTRONIC PROCEEDINGS

Michael Oberguggenberger, Julian King, Bernhard Schmelzer

Imprecise probability methods for sensitivity analysis in engineering

Abstract

This article addresses questions of sensitivity of output values in engineering models with respect to variations in the input parameters. Such an analysis is an important ingredient in the assessment of the safety and reliability of structures. A major challenge in engineering applications lies in the fact that high computational costs have to be faced. Methods have to be developed that admit assertions about the sensitivity of the output with as few computations as possible. This article serves to explore various techniques from imprecise probability that may contribute to achieving this goal.

Keywords. Reliability of structures, sensitivity analysis, random sets, fuzzy sets, simulation methods, aerospace engineering

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Authors addresses:

Michael Oberguggenberger
Arbeitsbereich fuer Technische Mathematik
Universitaet Innsbruck
Technikerstr. 13
A-6020 Innsbruck
Austria

Julian King
Technikerstr. 13
A-6020 Innsbruck

Bernhard Schmelzer
Technikerstraße 13, 6020 Innsbruck

E-mail addresses:

Michael Oberguggenberger michael@mat1.uibk.ac.at
Julian King csae2209@uibk.ac.at
Bernhard Schmelzer csae1209@uibk.ac.at

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